Potential Predictors for Deterioration of Renal Function After Transfusion.

BACKGROUND: Transfusion of packed red blood cells (pRBCs) is still associated with risks. This study aims to determine whether renal function deterioration in the context of individual transfusions in individual patients can be predicted using machine learning. Recipient and donor characteristics linked to increased risk are identified. METHODS: This study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05466370) and was conducted after local ethics committee approval. We evaluated 3366 transfusion episodes from a university hospital between October 31, 2016, and August 31, 2020. Random forest models were tuned and trained via Python auto-sklearn package to predict acute kidney injury (AKI). The models included recipients' and donors' demographic parameters and laboratory values, donor questionnaire results, and the age of the pRBCs. Bootstrapping on the test dataset was used to calculate the means and standard deviations of various performance metrics. RESULTS: AKI as defined by a modified Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criterion developed after 17.4% transfusion episodes (base rate). AKI could be predicted with an area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) of 0.73 ± 0.02. The negative (NPV) and positive (PPV) predictive values were 0.90 ± 0.02 and 0.32 ± 0.03, respectively. Feature importance and relative risk analyses revealed that donor features were far less important than recipient features for predicting posttransfusion AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Surprisingly, only the recipients' characteristics played a decisive role in AKI prediction. Based on this result, we speculate that the selection of a specific pRBC may have less influence than recipient characteristics.

Lipidomics for diagnosis and prognosis of pulmonary hypertension.

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) poses a significant health threat with high morbidity and mortality, necessitating improved diagnostic tools for enhanced management. Current biomarkers for PH lack functionality and comprehensive diagnostic and prognostic capabilities. Therefore, there is a critical need to develop biomarkers that address these gaps in PH diagnostics and prognosis. Methods: To address this need, we employed a comprehensive metabolomics analysis in 233 blood based samples coupled with machine learning analysis. For functional insights, human pulmonary arteries (PA) of idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) lungs were investigated and the effect of extrinsic FFAs on human PA endothelial and smooth muscle cells was tested in vitro. Results: PA of idiopathic PAH lungs showed lipid accumulation and altered expression of lipid homeostasis-related genes. In PA smooth muscle cells, extrinsic FFAs caused excessive proliferation and endothelial barrier dysfunction in PA endothelial cells, both hallmarks of PAH.In the training cohort of 74 PH patients, 30 disease controls without PH, and 65 healthy controls, diagnostic and prognostic markers were identified and subsequently validated in an independent cohort. Exploratory analysis showed a highly impacted metabolome in PH patients and machine learning confirmed a high diagnostic potential. Fully explainable specific free fatty acid (FFA)/lipid-ratios were derived, providing exceptional diagnostic accuracy with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 in the training and 0.90 in the validation cohort, outperforming machine learning results. These ratios were also prognostic and complemented established clinical prognostic PAH scores (FPHR4p and COMPERA2.0), significantly increasing their hazard ratios (HR) from 2.5 and 3.4 to 4.2 and 6.1, respectively. Conclusion: In conclusion, our research confirms the significance of lipidomic alterations in PH, introducing innovative diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. These findings may have the potential to reshape PH management strategies.

Lifting Hospital Electronic Health Record Data Treasures: Challenges and Opportunities.

Electronic health records (EHRs) have been successfully used in data science and machine learning projects. However, most of these data are collected for clinical use rather than for retrospective analysis. This means that researchers typically face many different issues when attempting to access and prepare the data for secondary use. We aimed to investigate how raw EHRs can be accessed and prepared in retrospective data science projects in a disciplined, effective, and efficient way. We report our experience and findings from a large-scale data science project analyzing routinely acquired retrospective data from the Kepler University Hospital in Linz, Austria. The project involved data collection from more than 150,000 patients over a period of 10 years. It included diverse data modalities, such as static demographic data, irregularly acquired laboratory test results, regularly sampled vital signs, and high-frequency physiological waveform signals. Raw medical data can be corrupted in many unexpected ways that demand thorough manual inspection and highly individualized data cleaning solutions. We present a general data preparation workflow, which was shaped in the course of our project and consists of the following 7 steps: obtain a rough overview of the available EHR data, define clinically meaningful labels for supervised learning, extract relevant data from the hospital's data warehouses, match data extracted from different sources, deidentify them, detect errors and inconsistencies therein through a careful exploratory analysis, and implement a suitable data processing pipeline in actual code. Only few of the data preparation issues encountered in our project were addressed by generic medical data preprocessing tools that have been proposed recently. Instead, highly individualized solutions for the specific data used in one's own research seem inevitable. We believe that the proposed workflow can serve as a guidance for practitioners, helping them to identify and address potential problems early and avoid some common pitfalls.